Sure, the Fed Cut Rates… But Now What?

September 24, 2024

Sure, the Fed Cut Rates… But Now What?

With the Federal Reserve Board of Governors’ (The Fed) recent decision to cut interest rates, it’s important to understand what a rate cut means and why it happens. When the Fed cuts rates, it lowers the federal funds rate—the benchmark interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to each other overnight. This decision by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) aims to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses. Lower interest rates encourage consumers to borrow more money for purchases such as homes and cars, and businesses to invest and expand, which can help boost the labor market and reduce unemployment.

The Fed typically cuts rates in response to signs of economic slowdown or increased uncertainty in the economic outlook, such as slowing inflation data or rising unemployment rates. By reducing the cost of borrowing, the central bank increases the money supply and encourages spending and investment, which can help balance economic risks and support financial markets. However, rate cuts also reflect concerns about potential risks to economic growth and aim to provide a cushion against downturns. Understanding these dynamics helps consumers, investors, and businesses anticipate how changes in the fed funds rate can affect loans, debt, savings, and overall economic activity.

The image depicts a financial news graphic illustrating a mortgage rate cut, highlighting lower interest rates and their potential impact on economic growth and the housing market. It includes visual elements representing the federal reserve, stock market trends, and consumer borrowing, emphasizing the connection between rate cuts and economic outlook.

Impact of Fed Rate Cuts on the Economy and Markets

Fed rate cuts play a crucial role in shaping the economic outlook by influencing borrowing costs, consumer spending, and investment activities. When the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate, it reduces the target range for short-term interest rates, making loans and credit more affordable for businesses and consumers. This often leads to increased economic growth as companies expand operations and hire more workers, positively affecting the labor market and reducing the unemployment rate.

Lower interest rates also impact the stock market and equity investments. Investors tend to respond favorably to rate cuts because cheaper borrowing costs can boost corporate profits and encourage spending. Such information encourages more investment in stocks, often leading to market gains on Wall Street. However, the effects on mortgage rates and bonds can be more complex. While mortgage rates may remain relatively high due to factors like mortgage-backed securities and inflation projections, the Fed's actions generally help stabilize the housing market by influencing borrowing costs.

Additionally, rate cuts affect consumer savings options such as money market accounts and certificates of deposit (CDs), where lower rates can reduce returns. Despite this, lower rates can stimulate cash flow in the economy by encouraging spending over saving, which can help counteract economic slowdowns. Officials at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) often use rate cuts as a tool to manage economic risks and support sustained growth, especially when uncertainty increases.

In summary, Fed rate cuts are expected to occur as a response to shifts in the economic outlook, inflation data, and labor market conditions. These additional cuts or cuts coming in the future can influence borrowing costs, investment decisions, and overall economic stability, making it essential for consumers, investors, and businesses to stay informed and adapt accordingly.

The image depicts a bustling financial district, showcasing the stock market and various banks, symbolizing the global economy. It highlights key elements such as interest rates, economic growth, and the influence of the Federal Reserve on markets and consumers.

Why does the Fed cut rates?

The Federal Reserve employs several tools to implement monetary policy, including open market operations (buying and selling securities to adjust the money supply), the discount rate (the interest rate banks pay to borrow from the Fed), reserve requirements (which limit how much banks can lend), and interest on reserve balances (which compensates banks for holding reserves instead of investing them). When the Fed cuts rates, its primary goals are to control inflation and stimulate economic growth. By lowering interest rates, the cost of borrowing decreases, encouraging businesses and consumers to invest and borrow more. This increase in spending and investment can boost economic growth, improve the labor market, and help reduce the unemployment rate. Rate cuts are often enacted in response to signs of economic slowdown, rising unemployment, or uncertainty in the economic outlook, as a way to support the economy and maintain stability. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) uses these interest rate cuts as a key tool to influence the federal funds rate, which in turn affects borrowing costs across the economy, including loans, mortgages, and credit. Ultimately, the Fed’s rate cuts aim to balance risks to economic growth and inflation, ensuring a stable financial environment for consumers, investors, and businesses.

With the Federal Reserve Board of Governors’ (The Fed) recent decision to further cut interest rates, we would like to take the opportunity to shed light on what it means when the Fed cuts rates, why the rates are cut and the importance of understanding the potential impacts of this decision.

What does it mean when the Fed cuts interest rates?

When the Fed cuts interest rates they are lowering the fed funds target rate. This is the rate banks charge each other when lending money overnight to meet the federal reserve requirement. This is important because a number of other interest rates utilize the target rate as a reference point. One of the most significant rates influenced is the prime rate, or the rate that banks charge their best customers.

Fed rate Cuts

Why does the Fed cut rates?

The Fed has a few tools at its disposal in order to enact monetary policy: open market operations (the buying and selling of securities to increase or decrease money supply), the discount rate (interest rate charged between banks), reserve requirements (controls the amount banks can lend), and interest on reserve balances (eliminates the opportunity cost that banks incur by not investing required reserves in interest-bearing assets*) . When the Fed cuts rates, the objective is to stabilize prices (control inflation) and stimulate economic growth; as lowering finance costs can spur businesses and consumers to invest as well as borrow.

What are the potential impacts of this decision?

Some of the positive impacts of Fed rate cuts on the economy include:

  • Lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. Reduced interest rates make loans and credit more affordable, encouraging consumers to spend more and businesses to invest in growth projects. This injection of capital typically stimulates economic growth and supports a stronger labor market.
  • Increased liquidity in money market accounts and other savings vehicles, which can encourage spending over saving, helping to boost overall economic activity.

However, there are also notable negative impacts that can arise from cutting interest rates too much:

  • Excessively low rates may fuel inflation by spurring too much economic growth, which can erode consumers’ purchasing power and destabilize prices.
  • Investors may take on more risk than usual in search of higher yields, potentially leading to asset bubbles or financial market volatility.
  • Retirees and others relying on interest income may see reduced returns on savings and investments, prompting them to cut spending to preserve principal. With the aging Baby Boomer population, this reduction in consumption could weigh on economic growth.

In summary, while Fed rate cuts aim to balance risks by promoting economic growth and supporting the labor market, they also carry risks such as inflation and increased financial risk-taking. Understanding these impacts helps consumers, investors, and businesses navigate changes in the fed funds rate and the broader economic outlook.

How Fed Rate Cuts Affect Mortgages

Fed rate cuts can influence mortgage rates, but the relationship is indirect and influenced by several factors. For more details on how mortgage rates and prices are determined, consider the roles of quantitative metrics, economic influences, and individual financial profiles. When the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate, it reduces short-term borrowing costs for banks, which can lead to lower interest rates on various loans, including mortgages. However, mortgage rates are also affected by long-term bond yields, inflation projections, and the overall economic outlook.

Typically, when the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates may decline as well, making home loans more affordable for consumers. This can encourage more people to buy homes or refinance existing mortgages, boosting demand in the housing market. However, mortgage rates do not always fall immediately or in direct proportion to Fed rate cuts because they are tied closely to the 10-year Treasury yield and influenced by factors such as mortgage-backed securities and investor sentiment.

Lower mortgage rates can reduce monthly payments for homebuyers, increasing affordability. Yet, if demand rises significantly due to lower rates, home prices may increase, which can offset some of the benefits of reduced borrowing costs. Additionally, economic conditions such as inflation and labor market strength also play a role in determining mortgage rates.

For those with adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), Fed rate cuts tend to have a more immediate impact since these loans are directly tied to short-term rates influenced by the Fed. Fixed-rate mortgages, on the other hand, are less sensitive to Fed actions unless borrowers refinance their loans.

In summary, while Fed rate cuts generally help lower mortgage rates and stimulate the housing market, the actual effect depends on broader economic factors and market dynamics—often resulting in good news for mortgage rates. Homebuyers and investors should monitor these trends and consider consulting mortgage advisors to make informed decisions.

The article does not currently have a dedicated section specifically about how the Fed rate cut affects credit cards and investment mutual funds, but I can provide an explanation based on the economic context described.

How the Fed Rate Cut Affects Investments and Credit Cards

Regarding credit cards: When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the benchmark federal funds rate decreases, which can lead to lower interest rates on variable-rate credit cards. However, the effect is often gradual and depends on the credit card issuer's policies and your creditworthiness. Consumers with good credit may see reductions in their interest rates, making carrying a balance less costly. Still, many credit card rates remain relatively high, and reductions are not guaranteed immediately after a Fed rate cut.

Regarding investment mutual funds: The impact of a Fed rate cut on mutual funds varies depending on the type of fund. Lower interest rates can boost stock market performance by reducing borrowing costs for companies and encouraging investment, which generally benefits equity mutual funds. Conversely, bond mutual funds may see mixed effects: bond prices usually rise when rates fall, which can increase the value of bond funds, but yields on new bonds may decline, reducing future income. Additionally, mutual funds that invest in money market accounts or CDs will likely see lower yields due to reduced interest rates.

Who Benefits From High Interest Rates?

Financial institutions, and specifically banks, generally benefit from higher interest rates. Banks make money from the rates they charge on their loans to consumers. The higher the rate, the more money they make.

Explain Like I'm Five

The federal funds rate is the interest rate for short-term loans between banks. The Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets regularly, typically eight times a year, to decide whether to raise, lower, or maintain its target federal funds rate. Changes to this rate have a ripple effect throughout the banking system, influencing many other interest rates including those on loans, mortgages, and credit.

A rate cut by the Fed lowers borrowing costs, making it cheaper for corporations to invest and hire, which supports economic growth and can improve the labor market and unemployment rate. For consumers, lower interest rates make it easier to borrow money to buy homes, cars, or finance other purchases. Conversely, when the Fed raises rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, but savers benefit from higher interest rates on bank deposits and money market accounts. Understanding how the fed rate cut and fed raised decisions affect the economy and your finances is essential for making informed borrowing and investment decisions.

The Bottom Line

The Federal Reserve uses its target rate as a monetary policy tool and the impact of a change to the target rate depends on whether you're a borrower or a saver. It's important to read the terms of your financing and savings agreements to determine which interest rates apply to you and determine how a Fed cut can impact your financial situation.

Our brokers report that some buyers have struggled to find their first home as many were scared off by bidding wars during the low-interest-rate era four years ago, and then didn't qualify because of higher interest rates and homeowner's insurance costs skyrocketing. Supply has not kept pace with demand, especially as the large millennial generation is forming households and trying to buy homes, and building a conventional house takes several months. (For some reason, manufactured housing, despite its many benefits, has not increased substantially in popularity.)

Lower mortgage rates can certainly bring down a homebuyer's monthly mortgage payment. But when home prices are sky-high, it will still be hard for many people to find a home they can afford. The move by the Fed will help certain parts of the economy, but in terms of housing, it will take more than the Fed's rate cut to fix America's housing problems.

Stay in the Know
Products & Rates
Partner with Orion

LET'S STAY CONNECTED!

Please complete the form found below so we can stay in touch.

Fields Market with * are REQUIRED. All other fields are optional.

Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.